Chinese Sultanas 2025: Sold-Out Stocks & Price Risks Ahead

🍇 2025 Chinese Sultanas Market Outlook: Supply, Prices & B2B Trade Signals

Overview: Tight Supply Meets High Demand as New Crop Approaches

The Chinese sultana market is entering the 2025 season under pressure. 2024 crop inventories are completely sold out—not only among farmers and processors, but also speculators and traders. This severe supply shortage sets the stage for a highly competitive start to the new season, with both domestic and international buyers preparing for strong demand.


⏳ Old Crop Depleted: Delivery Gaps Persist

2024 Recap: A High-Demand Year with Lingering Backlogs

  • All available stock from the previous crop is now exhausted across all levels of the supply chain
  • Significant delivery gaps remain from last season's contracts and allocations
  • Buyers still chasing last year's orders are likely to intensify pressure on early-season collection

Market Impact:

  • The first 1–2 weeks of new crop arrival are expected to see fierce procurement activity
  • Upward price momentum is highly likely due to this concentrated demand

🌤️ Favorable Weather & High Confidence Among Farmers

New Crop Forecast: Yield Up, Quality Up

  • Weather Conditions: Mild and stable in key growing areas
  • Farmer Sentiment: Buoyed by last season's high returns, farmers are actively managing crops
  • Expected Yield Increase: Up 30–40% from last year
  • Quality Outlook: Premium levels expected, especially 10-grade sultanas in higher proportion

⚠️ Risk Watch: New Traders May Disrupt Pricing

Uncertainty Ahead: More Players, Less Stability

The strong market performance has attracted many new traders—some lacking market experience or long-term partners. This could result in:

  • Short-term price volatility
  • Fragmented offers and inconsistent quality
  • Unstable market signals during early season trading

Advice for Buyers:

  • Secure known supplier relationships early
  • Verify quality specs (10-grade, moisture, color, sizing) before committing
  • Stay alert during early harvest weeks for pricing fluctuations

📊 Strategic Takeaways for Sultana Importers & Distributors

  • Prepare for early-season bidding pressure and possible price increases
  • Take advantage of projected higher availability of premium quality
  • Navigate new-crop sourcing carefully due to inexperienced market entrants

🔍 Final Thoughts: Timing and Relationships Matter

The 2025 Chinese sultana season promises strong quality and good volumes, but also brings a volatile trading environment. For B2B buyers, early action and trusted supplier engagement will be key to securing stock at optimal price and grade.


📞 Looking to Book Premium Chinese Sultanas?

At Cardassilaris Family, we help you access certified growers, verified processors, and stable supply chains—even in tight markets.

Let’s secure your 2025 position before prices move.

📩 Reach out at trade@cardassilaris.gr to reserve offers and specs.