Global Insights: Chilean Walnut Season 2025 – Exports, Prices & Buyer Outlook
🌰 Chile Walnut Market Report – 2025 Season Update
📈 Production & Quality Insights
The 2025 walnut harvest in Chile has concluded, revealing important market insights and quality updates for buyers and suppliers alike.
- Total Volume: Approximately 15% higher than last year, but 5% lower than initial industry expectations. 📊
- Chandler Variety:
- 🔸 Sizes: Smaller compared to 2024, notably impacting availability of Chandler 36+.
- 🔸 Shell Appearance: Slightly increased spotting, but still within acceptable limits. ✅
- 🔸 Kernel Quality: Significantly improved color and yield. 🌟
🚢 Export Trends & Early Demand
Chile’s walnut exports reached 3,574 metric tons by April 30, a remarkable 98% increase compared to last year.
🌎 Leading Export Markets:
| Country | Increase (%) |
|---|---|
| 🇹🇷 Turkey | +201% |
| 🇮🇹 Italy | +176% |
| 🇲🇦 Morocco | +6% |
📌 Commitment Levels & Market Dynamics
Currently, 41.7% of the estimated crop is committed, marking a 12.8% decrease from last year.
- 🔸 Main factor: Reduced early-season activity from India 🇮🇳.
- 🔸 Positive outlook: Recent resurgence in Indian demand driven by domestic stock shortages.
💰 Pricing & Market Uncertainty
Prices remain stable but the international market faces higher-than-usual uncertainty, driven by:
- ⚖️ Global tariff disputes affecting major markets.
- 🇨🇳 Competitive pricing pressure from low-priced Chinese walnuts.
- 🌦 Climate-related risks complicating forecasts and market stability.
🎯 Key Opportunities & Recommendations
Strategic advice for buyers and suppliers:
- ✅ Medium-sized In-shell Walnuts: Expected to sell out quickly—secure volumes soon.
- ✅ Chandler 36+ Walnuts: Limited supply expected, early booking recommended.
- ✅ Indian Market Activity 🇮🇳: Renewed interest may cause rapid price increases.
- ✅ Chinese Pricing Competition 🇨🇳: Opportunities for strategic blending or value-focused options.
- ✅ Tariff Volatility ⚖️: Consider forward contracts or flexible terms to mitigate risk.
📝 Conclusion & Next Steps
The 2025 Chilean walnut season offers increased production and improved quality balanced against size limitations and global uncertainty. Proactive purchasing and strategic planning are essential.
We will keep you updated throughout the season.
For detailed inquiries, size-specific data, or personalized market guidance, please contact us directly.
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